Mass tort underwriting requires modeling aggregate recovery — not individual case outcomes. Our models use historical MDL settlement data, bellwether verdict patterns, and claimant injury profiles to construct a settlement curve for each funded docket.
Funding is sized against the modeled expected value of the tranche, with capital deployment structured to match the litigation timeline — not a fixed draw schedule that assumes the docket resolves on a commercial loan timetable.
Every capital decision at Criterica Capital is underwritten against outcomes, not collateral. Our models are trained on 106M+ real court records across US federal courts, state courts, and international jurisdictions.
We assess jurisdiction-level recovery rates, case-type outcome distributions, time-to-resolution curves, and attorney performance history before committing capital. No collateral. No credit check. Outcomes only.
