Mass tort underwriting requires modeling aggregate recovery — not individual case outcomes. Our models use historical MDL settlement data, bellwether verdict patterns, and claimant injury profiles to construct a settlement curve for each funded docket.
Funding is sized against the modeled expected value of the tranche, with capital deployment structured to match the litigation timeline — not a fixed draw schedule that assumes the docket resolves on a commercial loan timetable.
Every capital decision at Criterica Capital is underwritten against outcomes, not collateral. Our models are trained on real court records across US federal courts, state courts, and international jurisdictions.
We assess jurisdiction-level recovery rates, case-type outcome distributions, time-to-resolution curves, and attorney performance history before committing capital. No collateral. No credit check. Outcomes only.
