Underwriting Intelligence

We underwrite against outcomes, not collateral.

Every capital decision at Criterica Capital runs through predictive models trained on real court records. No other capital provider in the legal asset market underwrites this way.

Our 10,470 production predictive models span practice area and jurisdiction combinations — producing outcome probability estimates, settlement likelihood, and duration curves for every funded case.

10,470 Models
Production predictive models behind every funding decision
16,302 Judges
Verified judicial coverage in the underwriting corpus
ALFA + ILFA Codes
Practices structured to the industry standards codes of conduct
10,470
Predictive models
89
International models
16,302
Verified judges

Statistics shown reflect historical or illustrative model outputs derived from real case data. They are not predictions or guarantees of any individual outcome. Litigation results depend on facts, jurisdiction, judge, and counsel, and vary case by case. Model accuracy is subject to selection effects and changing legal dynamics.

Model Pipeline
01
Court Record Ingestion
Verified decisions across US federal, state, and international courts — continuously updated.
02
Feature Engineering
Jurisdiction, case type, NOS code, judge history, attorney record, timeline, and party characteristics extracted per case.
03
Model Training
10,470 production predictive models trained per jurisdiction and case type. Each model predicts outcome probability, resolution pathway, and duration.
04
Underwriting Decision
Case-level prediction runs at submission. Expected value, recovery band, and confidence interval inform the capital decision.
For Plaintiffs and Firms

Faster decisions. We don't need weeks to underwrite a case — our models provide baseline assessments in hours. Human underwriters review edge cases, not run baseline analysis.

Better pricing. Because we can model expected value more precisely, we can offer competitive rates on strong cases without mispricing risk on complex ones.

For Litigation Funds

We can underwrite against your portfolio because we can model what it's worth. NAV lending and warehouse facilities at Criterica Capital are sized using the same outcome intelligence that prices the underlying cases.

No other capital provider in this market has built this infrastructure. It is what allows us to provide capital where others cannot.

Underwriting infrastructure built on
Criterica Intelligence — the regulated outcomes intelligence platform →
Apply for funding or discuss a capital facility.
Contact Our Team